None bd · None ba ·
4,368 sqft ·
Built 1981
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 342 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$17,475/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$8,102
Tax + insurance
−$2,575
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,670
Net cashflow
$3,128/mo
Annual
$37,537/yr
Cap rate
8.72%
Cash-on-cash
8.68%
DSCR
1.39
1% rule
1.13%
Cash to close
$432,600
Investor read
This is a multifamily listed at $1.54M. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($38k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($17k rent vs $1.54M).
It's been on market 342 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.36M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.36M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $11k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $46k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,170 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Jurupa Unified (suburban): math 25% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #953 of 1,400 in CA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Pedley Elementary (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #1,511 of 1,571 statewide, top 98%, 739 students, 74% FRL); Mira Loma Middle (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #277 of 498 statewide, top 73%, 694 students, 87% FRL); Jurupa Valley High (1,716 students, 82% FRL) — zoned schools average 81% FRL vs 64% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 17% at this address vs 32% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Jurupa Unified average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 201 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 2.9% in Jurupa Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $17,475/mo this rent would consume 220% of the median local household income ($95k/yr) (locally 1694% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 342 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E9QVHJ31K6SN90
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29