4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,540 sqft ·
Built 1998
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 72 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,111/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,521
Tax + insurance
−$339
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$443
Net cashflow
$-192/mo
Annual
$-2,298/yr
Cap rate
5.50%
Cash-on-cash
-2.83%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$81,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $290k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-192 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $256k (11.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $211k (27.2% below list).
It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($273k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $211k (27.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#108 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, employment F.
Walton County (rural): math 43% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #31 of 174 in GA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Walker Park Elementary School (math 44% / reading 38%, grade F, #411 of 1,228 statewide, top 34%, 715 students, 40% FRL); Carver Middle School (math 20% / reading 25%, grade F, #327 of 470 statewide, top 70%, 801 students, 59% FRL); Monroe Area High School (math 30% / reading 34%, grade F, #110 of 424 statewide, top 28%, 1,158 students, 48% FRL).
Market conditions: 256 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 677 units permitted in Walton County in 2024 (17 in 5+ unit buildings).
Walton County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 2.5% in Monroe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-E9RJ040SRX60JJ
· Data 20 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29