315 7th Ave NE

Valley City, ND 58072

$78,000C

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 640 sqft · Built 1900 · SingleFamily · Pending · 8 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $786/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$409
• Tax + insurance: −$55
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$165
• Net cashflow: $157/mo
• Annual: $1,888/yr
• Cap rate: 8.71%
• Cash-on-cash: 8.65%
• DSCR: 1.38
• 1% rule: 1.01%
• Cash to close: $21,840

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $78k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $157 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($786 rent vs $78k).
• Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $539 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#30 in ND, #4,920 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Valley City 2 (town): math 52% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #21 of 53 in ND (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Valley City Junior High School (math 57% / reading 42%, grade C, #6 of 35 statewide, top 18%, 148 students, 34% FRL); Valley City High School (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #19 of 144 statewide, top 19%, 366 students, 34% FRL).
• Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 9 units permitted in Barnes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Barnes County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $34k; list at $78k implies a 128% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.5% in Valley City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Questions for listing agent

• Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.