5 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,343 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 92 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,945/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,187
Tax + insurance
−$695
HOA
−$58
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$618
Net cashflow
$-613/mo
Annual
$-7,357/yr
Cap rate
4.53%
Cash-on-cash
-6.30%
DSCR
0.72
1% rule
0.71%
Cash to close
$116,761
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $417k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-613 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $328k (21.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $295k (29.4% below list).
It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($379k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $295k (29.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Fulton County (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #12 of 174 in GA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Renaissance Es (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #689 of 1,228 statewide, top 58%, 601 students, 100% FRL); Renaissance Middle School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #301 of 470 statewide, top 66%, 1,166 students, 71% FRL); Langston Hughes High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #336 of 424 statewide, top 80%, 1,964 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 41% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 21% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-30 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Fulton County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 669 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 30d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 54% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $65k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($94k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EAJKZGAN97RDXN
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29