5 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,300 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 53 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,209/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,054
Tax + insurance
−$653
HOA
−$50
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$464
Net cashflow
$-1,011/mo
Annual
$-12,134/yr
Cap rate
3.19%
Cash-on-cash
-11.06%
DSCR
0.51
1% rule
0.56%
Cash to close
$109,664
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $357k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-12k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $245k (31.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $221k (38.0% below list).
It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($346k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $221k (38.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#205 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-, commute F.
Johnston County Public Schools (rural): math 39% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #105 of 178 in NC (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Benson Elementary (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #975 of 1,410 statewide, top 71%, 608 students, 74% FRL); Benson Middle (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #343 of 475 statewide, top 73%, 511 students, 69% FRL); South Johnston High (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #468 of 535 statewide, top 88%, 1,331 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools average 66% FRL vs 41% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 506 active listings in the ZIP; 2,783 units permitted in Johnston County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Johnston County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EAQ8QZ7XRC013B
· Data 2 months agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29