2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,050 sqft ·
Built 1997
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 374 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$15,771/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$6,031
Tax + insurance
−$1,096
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,312
Net cashflow
$5,332/mo
Annual
$63,981/yr
Cap rate
11.91%
Cash-on-cash
20.08%
DSCR
1.89
1% rule
1.37%
Cash to close
$322,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $1.15M. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($64k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($16k rent vs $1.15M).
It's been on market 374 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.01M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.01M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $34k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,007 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
East Hampton Union Free School District (town): math 62% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #159 of 590 in NY (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: John M Marshall Elementary School (math 57% / reading 62%, grade B-, #745 of 2,108 statewide, top 39%, 548 students, 51% FRL); East Hampton Middle School (math 39% / reading 60%, grade C, #280 of 729 statewide, top 40%, 265 students, 42% FRL); East Hampton High School (math 94% / reading 98%, grade A+, #71 of 1,100 statewide, top 7%, 1,015 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools average 44% FRL vs 26% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.3%/yr); 172 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $322k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 7.8% in Northwest Harbor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $15,771/mo this rent would consume 146% of the median local household income ($130k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 374 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Landscaping
— Some areas of the lawn appear slightly overgrown.
Minor: Fencing
— The white picket fence appears slightly worn and could benefit from a fresh coat of paint or replacement in some sections.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EB3GT3A56T5C1J
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29