3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,665 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Townhouse
· Active
· 56 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,667/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,731
Tax + insurance
−$550
HOA
−$306
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$560
Net cashflow
$-480/mo
Annual
$-5,755/yr
Cap rate
4.55%
Cash-on-cash
-6.23%
DSCR
0.72
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$92,397
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $330k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-480 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $261k (21.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $267k (19.2% below list).
It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($320k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $261k (21.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 89/100 on livability (#5 in MN, #148 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities D, cost of living D.
Rosemount-Apple Valley-Eagan (suburban): math 50% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #58 of 301 in MN (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Red Pine Elementary (math 67% / reading 60%, grade B, #162 of 857 statewide, top 19%, 728 students, 20% FRL); Rosemount Middle (math 48% / reading 58%, grade C+, #53 of 258 statewide, top 22%, 1,205 students, 20% FRL); Rosemount Senior High (math 54% / reading 67%, grade C+, #43 of 471 statewide, top 9%, 2,425 students, 21% FRL) — zoned schools at 20% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 667 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 41d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 63% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 2,134 units permitted in Dakota County in 2024 (898 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dakota County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 3.4% in Rosemount — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EB9J8Y48KV7JJD
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29