3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,665 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Townhouse
· Active
· 101 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,614/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,678
Tax + insurance
−$533
HOA
−$306
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$549
Net cashflow
$-452/mo
Annual
$-5,430/yr
Cap rate
4.60%
Cash-on-cash
-6.06%
DSCR
0.73
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$89,597
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $320k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-452 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $255k (20.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $261k (18.3% below list).
It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $255k (20.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 89/100 on livability (#5 in MN, #148 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities D, cost of living D.
Rosemount-Apple Valley-Eagan (suburban): math 50% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #58 of 301 in MN (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Red Pine Elementary (math 67% / reading 60%, grade B, #162 of 857 statewide, top 19%, 728 students, 20% FRL); Rosemount Middle (math 48% / reading 58%, grade C+, #53 of 258 statewide, top 22%, 1,205 students, 20% FRL); Rosemount Senior High (math 54% / reading 67%, grade C+, #43 of 471 statewide, top 9%, 2,425 students, 21% FRL) — zoned schools at 20% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 749 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 55d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 63% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 2,134 units permitted in Dakota County in 2024 (898 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dakota County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $38k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 3.6% in Rosemount — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EB9J8Y48KV7JJD
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29