3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,573 sqft ·
Built 1870
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,215/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$813
Tax + insurance
−$230
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$255
Net cashflow
$-83/mo
Annual
$-1,001/yr
Cap rate
5.65%
Cash-on-cash
-2.31%
DSCR
0.90
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$43,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $155k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-83 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $140k (9.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (21.6% below list).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $121k (21.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Interstate 35 Community School District (rural): math 60% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #197 of 289 in IA (top 68%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1870 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 125 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (51 in 5+ unit buildings).
Madison County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1870 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EBAMJ2BTE0JE3Z
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29