3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,288 sqft ·
Built 1991
· Manufactured
· Active
· 98 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,707/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$336
Tax + insurance
−$78
HOA
−$525
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$358
Net cashflow
$409/mo
Annual
$4,913/yr
Cap rate
13.97%
Cash-on-cash
27.42%
DSCR
2.22
1% rule
2.67%
Cash to close
$17,920
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $64k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $409 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $64k).
It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $58k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $442 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#16 in SD, #2,914 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D+, commute F.
Brookings School District 05-1 (town): math 41% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #40 of 59 in SD (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: HOA is 31% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 23 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 224 units permitted in Brookings County in 2024 (25 in 5+ unit buildings).
Brookings County population projected at +40% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.2% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29