6 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,716 sqft ·
Built 1987
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,900/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,753
Tax + insurance
−$875
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,029
Net cashflow
$243/mo
Annual
$2,914/yr
Cap rate
6.85%
Cash-on-cash
1.98%
DSCR
1.09
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$147,000
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3.0-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $525k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $243 ($3k/yr) — positive. Per door: $121/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $490k (6.7% below list).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $490k (6.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $56k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $52k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#129 in NY, #2,083 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
Guilderland Central School District (suburban): math 61% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #166 of 590 in NY (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Guilderland High School (math 97% / reading 82%, grade A+, #265 of 1,100 statewide, top 26%, 1,462 students, 23% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 90% at this address vs 64% district-wide (+25 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Guilderland Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).
Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $400k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $147k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$90k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EBHCP4A3KKZV97
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29