Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance), GA 30907
$138,400D+
2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,118 sqft ·
Built 1997
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 8 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,349/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$726
Tax + insurance
−$209
HOA
−$100
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$283
Net cashflow
$31/mo
Annual
$372/yr
Cap rate
6.56%
Cash-on-cash
0.96%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$38,752
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $138k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $31 ($372/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $135k (2.5% below list).
Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $135k (2.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $957 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Richmond County (urban): math 12% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #154 of 174 in GA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Warren Road Elementary School (math 27% / reading 22%, grade F, #753 of 1,228 statewide, top 64%, 603 students, 98% FRL); Tutt Middle School (math 7% / reading 21%, grade F, #405 of 470 statewide, top 86%, 476 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 72% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 333 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 561 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Richmond County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
4 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $68k; list at $138k implies a 104% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 62% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 5.3% in Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance) — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EBJCVG8MCGEG49
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29