3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,274 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 308 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,500/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$886
Tax + insurance
−$282
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$315
Net cashflow
$17/mo
Annual
$203/yr
Cap rate
6.41%
Cash-on-cash
0.43%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$47,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $169k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $17 ($203/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (11.3% below list).
It's been on market 308 days — a 12% lower offer ($149k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $149k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#657 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D, employment D.
Slocum ISD (rural): math 46% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #332 of 1,141 in TX (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 196 active listings in the ZIP; 29 units permitted in Anderson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Anderson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $41k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.9% in Palestine — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 308 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: siding
— Weathered and peeling
Major: landscaping
— Overgrown vegetation
Major: paint
— Painted walls need touch-up
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