4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,832 sqft ·
Built 1890
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 273 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,266/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,459
Tax + insurance
−$650
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,106
Net cashflow
$1,050/mo
Annual
$12,603/yr
Cap rate
8.98%
Cash-on-cash
9.60%
DSCR
1.43
1% rule
1.12%
Cash to close
$131,320
Investor read
This is a 3 × 3-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $469k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $350/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $469k).
It's been on market 273 days — a 12% lower offer ($413k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $413k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $50k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $47k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#708 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living B; Watch: health & safety D, crime F, amenities F.
Lyme Central School District (rural): math 55% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #408 of 755 in NY (top 54%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 196 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jefferson County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $290k; list at $469k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $131k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$81k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 273 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
CashFlowRE · CFR-EC2AANB8QETP38
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29