2 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,280 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Townhouse
· Active
· 734 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$14,812/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$6,293
Tax + insurance
−$2,000
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,110
Net cashflow
$3,408/mo
Annual
$40,900/yr
Cap rate
9.70%
Cash-on-cash
12.17%
DSCR
1.54
1% rule
1.23%
Cash to close
$336,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $1.20M. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($41k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($15k rent vs $1.20M).
It's been on market 734 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.06M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.06M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $128k of equity ($8k loan paydown + $120k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#740 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Westhampton Beach Union Free School District (suburban): math 72% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #81 of 590 in NY (top 14%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Westhampton Beach Elementary School (math 67% / reading 67%, grade B+, #525 of 2,108 statewide, top 27%, 356 students, 43% FRL); Westhampton Middle School (math 61% / reading 63%, grade B+, #136 of 729 statewide, top 20%, 434 students, 26% FRL); Westhampton Beach Senior High School (math 90% / reading 96%, grade A+, #147 of 1,100 statewide, top 14%, 964 students, 24% FRL).
Market conditions: 146 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 120d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 88% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 10% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $336k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$206k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
At $14,812/mo this rent would consume 142% of the median local household income ($125k/yr) (locally 19% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 734 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ECV6NH609KZRTG
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29