4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,657 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,137/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,390
Tax + insurance
−$442
HOA
−$42
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$449
Net cashflow
$-185/mo
Annual
$-2,222/yr
Cap rate
5.45%
Cash-on-cash
-3.00%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$74,197
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $265k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-185 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $238k (10.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $214k (19.4% below list).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($261k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $214k (19.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#185 in TX, #4,775 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
Boyd ISD (rural): math 36% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #462 of 826 in TX (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 201 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 460 units permitted in Wise County in 2024 (243 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wise County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ECV9AM500XDKBA
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29