3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,344 sqft ·
Built 1988
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 271 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,876/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$705
Tax + insurance
−$123
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$394
Net cashflow
$653/mo
Annual
$7,834/yr
Cap rate
12.12%
Cash-on-cash
20.80%
DSCR
1.93
1% rule
1.39%
Cash to close
$37,660
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath manufactured listed at $134k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $653 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $134k).
It's been on market 271 days — a 12% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $118k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $930 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#261 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety D+, amenities F.
Sheridan SD 48J (town): math 29% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #144 of 183 in OR (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Faulconer-Chapman School (482 students, 89% FRL); Sheridan High School (224 students, 148% FRL) — zoned schools average 119% FRL vs 58% district-wide (61 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 282 units permitted in Yamhill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Yamhill County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $54k; list at $134k implies a 149% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 2.2% in Sheridan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 271 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ECZJDK9A625P2N
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29