Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance), TN 37115
$97,995C-
3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,493 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Manufactured
· Active
· 157 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,898/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$514
Tax + insurance
−$163
HOA
−$700
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$399
Net cashflow
$122/mo
Annual
$1,467/yr
Cap rate
7.79%
Cash-on-cash
5.35%
DSCR
1.24
1% rule
1.94%
Cash to close
$27,439
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $98k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $122 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $98k).
It's been on market 157 days — a 12% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $86k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $677 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Davidson County (urban): math 12% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #126 of 139 in TN (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: HOA is 37% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 330 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,873 units permitted in Davidson County in 2024 (4,138 in 5+ unit buildings).
Davidson County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 2.9% in Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 157 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ECZPT60BEJXPSF
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29