2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,143 sqft ·
Built 1980
· Townhouse
· Active
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,580/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$818
Tax + insurance
−$423
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$332
Net cashflow
$7/mo
Annual
$87/yr
Cap rate
6.35%
Cash-on-cash
0.20%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
1.01%
Cash to close
$43,652
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $156k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $7 ($87/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $156k).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $154k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#167 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Dorchester 02 (suburban): math 40% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #12 of 80 in SC (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Newington Elementary (math 42% / reading 48%, grade D-, #224 of 597 statewide, top 38%, 758 students, 81% FRL); Gregg Middle (math 28% / reading 45%, grade F, #98 of 229 statewide, top 43%, 850 students, 76% FRL); Summerville High (math 60% / reading 92%, grade A-, #34 of 196 statewide, top 17%, 3,308 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 36% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 741 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,199 units permitted in Dorchester County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dorchester County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
9 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 97% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.9% in Summerville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29