3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,112 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 206 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,245/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$262
Tax + insurance
−$105
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$261
Net cashflow
$617/mo
Annual
$7,400/yr
Cap rate
22.46%
Cash-on-cash
57.73%
DSCR
3.57
1% rule
2.49%
Cash to close
$13,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $617 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
It's been on market 206 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,424 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Keystone Central SD (town): math 32% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #384 of 539 in PA (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Renovo El Sch (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #815 of 1,518 statewide, top 56%, 150 students, 69% FRL); Bucktail Area Ms (math 12% / reading 42%, grade F, #404 of 512 statewide, top 80%, 105 students, 71% FRL); Bucktail Hs (math 44%, 114 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 63% FRL vs 44% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 44 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clinton County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 206 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EDZDJ78PPZM6YB
· Data 36 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29