51 bd · 20.4 ba ·
4,860 sqft ·
Built 1940
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 102 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$29,896/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$9,177
Tax + insurance
−$2,917
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$6,278
Net cashflow
$11,524/mo
Annual
$138,288/yr
Cap rate
14.20%
Cash-on-cash
28.22%
DSCR
2.26
1% rule
1.71%
Cash to close
$490,000
Investor read
This is a 17 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $1.75M. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $12k ($138k/yr) — positive. Per door: $678/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($30k rent vs $1.75M).
It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($1.59M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.59M (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $187k of equity ($12k loan paydown + $175k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,026 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living B; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
Catskill Central School District (town): math 45% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #429 of 590 in NY (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 104 active listings in the ZIP; 97 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Greene County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $490k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$301k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
At $29,896/mo this rent would consume 491% of the median local household income ($73k/yr) (locally 318% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29