The McGinnis Plan

Dallas, GA 30132

$325,990F

4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,372 sqft · Built — · SingleFamily · Active · 247 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,315/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,959
• Tax + insurance: −$623
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$486
• Net cashflow: $-753/mo
• Annual: $-9,041/yr
• Cap rate: 3.87%
• Cash-on-cash: -8.64%
• DSCR: 0.62
• 1% rule: 0.62%
• Cash to close: $104,617

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $326k. Condition is rated excellent.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-753 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $265k (18.8% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $231k (29.0% below list).
• It's been on market 247 days — a 12% lower offer ($287k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $231k (29.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#192 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Paulding County (suburban): math 39% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #33 of 174 in GA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Lillian C. Poole Elementary School (math 47% / reading 37%, grade F, #380 of 1,228 statewide, top 33%, 470 students, 56% FRL); Herschel Jones Middle School (math 24% / reading 33%, grade F, #260 of 470 statewide, top 56%, 807 students, 61% FRL); Paulding County High School (math 19% / reading 37%, grade F, #155 of 424 statewide, top 37%, 2,005 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools average 55% FRL vs 33% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 968 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 33d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,458 units permitted in Paulding County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Paulding County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 247 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.