224 bd · 196.0 ba ·
9,824 sqft ·
Built 1929
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 95 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$22,218/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$5,139
Tax + insurance
−$962
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$4,666
Net cashflow
$11,451/mo
Annual
$137,407/yr
Cap rate
20.31%
Cash-on-cash
50.08%
DSCR
3.23
1% rule
2.27%
Cash to close
$274,400
Investor read
This is a 14 × 16-bed/14.0-bath units multifamily listed at $980k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $11k ($137k/yr) — positive. Per door: $818/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($22k rent vs $980k).
It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($892k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $892k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $29k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, schools D-.
Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 140 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
6 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $250k; list at $980k implies a 292% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $274k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 20.3% vs local median 5.0% in Louisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $22,218/mo this rent would consume 840% of the median local household income ($32k/yr) (locally 1483% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29