3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,228 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,883/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,049
Tax + insurance
−$125
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$395
Net cashflow
$314/mo
Annual
$3,765/yr
Cap rate
8.18%
Cash-on-cash
6.72%
DSCR
1.30
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$56,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $314 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $188k (5.9% below list).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $188k (5.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (3.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#7 in ND, #2,511 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Hillsboro 9 (rural): math 51% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #16 of 53 in ND (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Hillsboro High School (math 47% / reading 47%, grade D-, #30 of 144 statewide, top 22%, 241 students, 21% FRL) — zoned schools at 21% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Traill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Traill County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $140k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (3.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EF6K6CDYT06KSQ
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29