3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,940 sqft ·
Built 1992
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,851/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,967
Tax + insurance
−$265
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$599
Net cashflow
$20/mo
Annual
$241/yr
Cap rate
6.36%
Cash-on-cash
0.23%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$105,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $375k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $20 ($241/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $285k (24.0% below list).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $285k (24.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#1 in AL, #630 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+.
Hoover City (urban): math 45% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #8 of 129 in AL (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Gwin Elementary School (math 45% / reading 63%, grade C, #96 of 627 statewide, top 16%, 515 students, 44% FRL); Ira F Simmons Middle School (math 33% / reading 59%, grade D+, #36 of 257 statewide, top 14%, 882 students, 46% FRL); Hoover High School (math 46% / reading 47%, grade D-, #17 of 305 statewide, top 5%, 2,841 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools average 41% FRL vs 19% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 208 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $138k; list at $375k implies a 172% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 44% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.4% in Hoover — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EF7KMP8D08DCS5
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29