2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
960 sqft ·
Built 1991
· Townhouse
· Active
· 185 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,340/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$920
Tax + insurance
−$133
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$281
Net cashflow
$5/mo
Annual
$58/yr
Cap rate
6.33%
Cash-on-cash
0.12%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$49,140
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $176k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $5 ($58/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (23.7% below list).
It's been on market 185 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $134k (23.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#231 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Jessamine County (town): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #37 of 165 in KY (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Nicholasville Elementary School (math 26% / reading 38%, grade F, #348 of 676 statewide, top 55%, 455 students, 62% FRL); East Jessamine Middle School (math 23% / reading 44%, grade F, #105 of 217 statewide, top 51%, 936 students, 56% FRL); East Jessamine High School (math 26% / reading 38%, grade F, #97 of 254 statewide, top 46%, 1,173 students, 57% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 502 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 267 units permitted in Jessamine County in 2024 (9 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jessamine County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $67k; list at $176k implies a 162% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.4% in Nicholasville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 185 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EF8KQD5M1KMN8Q
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29