15 bd · None ba ·
3,896 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 99 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,447/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$500
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,144
Net cashflow
$2,230/mo
Annual
$26,759/yr
Cap rate
15.21%
Cash-on-cash
31.86%
DSCR
2.42
1% rule
1.82%
Cash to close
$84,000
Investor read
This is a 3 × 5-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($27k/yr) — positive. Per door: $743/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $300k).
It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($273k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $273k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $11k appreciation (3.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 51 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
5 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $198k; list at $300k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.7% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 15.2% vs local median 9.3% in Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,447/mo this rent would consume 161% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 1300% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29