3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,756 sqft ·
Built 2023
· Townhouse
· Active
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,695/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,547
Tax + insurance
−$680
HOA
−$183
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$566
Net cashflow
$-281/mo
Annual
$-3,368/yr
Cap rate
5.15%
Cash-on-cash
-4.08%
DSCR
0.82
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$82,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $295k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-281 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $245k (16.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $269k (8.6% below list).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $245k (16.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#350 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
CUSD 300 (suburban): math 24% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #261 of 620 in IL (top 42%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Hampshire Elem School (math 22% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,054 of 2,056 statewide, top 54%, 434 students, 0% FRL); Hampshire Middle School (math 23% / reading 21%, grade F, #389 of 665 statewide, top 60%, 795 students, 0% FRL); Hampshire High School (math 30% / reading 35%, grade F, #152 of 693 statewide, top 22%, 1,938 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 37% district-wide (37 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 287 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,944 units permitted in Kane County in 2024 (357 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 4.1% in Hampshire — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EHVZ3A4R30CTC0
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29