2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,264 sqft ·
Built 1985
· Townhouse
· Active
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,954/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,442
Tax + insurance
−$292
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$410
Net cashflow
$-190/mo
Annual
$-2,283/yr
Cap rate
5.46%
Cash-on-cash
-2.96%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
0.71%
Cash to close
$77,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $275k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-190 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $241k (12.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (28.9% below list).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $195k (28.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#38 in VA, #880 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, commute F.
Va Beach City Public School District (urban): math 69% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #10 of 131 in VA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Holland Elementary (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B, #480 of 1,108 statewide, top 46%, 460 students, 95% FRL); Landstown High (math 67% / reading 86%, grade A-, #99 of 319 statewide, top 31%, 2,226 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 28% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 666 units permitted in Virginia Beach city in 2024 (347 in 5+ unit buildings).
Virginia Beach County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $162k; list at $275k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.5% in Virginia Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EJ23T50D97CF6G
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29