3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,311 sqft ·
Built 1963
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 26 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,495/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$80
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$314
Net cashflow
$576/mo
Annual
$6,917/yr
Cap rate
13.21%
Cash-on-cash
24.70%
DSCR
2.10
1% rule
1.49%
Cash to close
$28,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $576 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#287 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Hugo (town): math 12% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #235 of 270 in OK (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Hugo Es (math 27% / reading 22%, grade F, #354 of 845 statewide, top 47%, 452 students, 0% FRL); Hugo Ms (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #234 of 345 statewide, top 72%, 263 students, 0% FRL); Hugo Hs (math 12% / reading 24%, grade F, #304 of 447 statewide, top 68%, 337 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 76% district-wide (76 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP.
Choctaw County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $45k; list at $100k implies a 122% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EJ3EGM9N9VWP6N
· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29