3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,352 sqft ·
Built 1958
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 143 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,699/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$747
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$357
Net cashflow
$202/mo
Annual
$2,427/yr
Cap rate
16.35%
Cash-on-cash
35.93%
DSCR
2.60
1% rule
2.27%
Cash to close
$21,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $202 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($518 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#66 in TX, #2,404 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
West Oso ISD (urban): math 20% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #712 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.6% of price; flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,397 units permitted in Nueces County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nueces County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (4.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 16.4% vs local median 3.6% in Corpus Christi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $1,699/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 386% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EJ7ATR3Y4N5B4N
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29