2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,090 sqft ·
Built 1967
· Condo
· Under Contract
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,567/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,229
Tax + insurance
−$735
HOA
−$1,018
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$749
Net cashflow
$-1,164/mo
Annual
$-13,970/yr
Cap rate
3.01%
Cash-on-cash
-11.74%
DSCR
0.48
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$119,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $425k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-14k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $399k (6.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $357k (16.1% below list).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($412k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $357k (16.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 89/100 on livability (#2 in NJ, #139 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Fort Lee School District (suburban): math 46% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #105 of 472 in NJ (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: School No. 2 (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C, #176 of 1,303 statewide, top 15%, 357 students, 15% FRL); Lewis F. Cole Middle School (math 43% / reading 64%, grade C+, #77 of 431 statewide, top 18%, 1,194 students, 16% FRL); Fort Lee High School (math 35% / reading 66%, grade D+, #101 of 399 statewide, top 26%, 1,160 students, 12% FRL) — zoned schools at 14% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 29% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 207 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,488 units permitted in Bergen County in 2024 (1,610 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bergen County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 3.0% vs local median 1.5% in Fort Lee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($107k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29