2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,613 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Townhouse
· Active
· 100 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,336/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,414
Tax + insurance
−$449
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$491
Net cashflow
$-18/mo
Annual
$-216/yr
Cap rate
6.21%
Cash-on-cash
-0.29%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$75,499
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $270k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-18 ($-216/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $267k (1.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $234k (13.4% below list).
It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($245k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $234k (13.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#499 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.7%/yr); 546 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.3% in New Port Richey East — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($85k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EJHVFJ8DFQXX4V
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29