3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,248 sqft ·
Built 1950
· Other
· Active
· 76 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,022/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$309
Tax + insurance
−$82
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$215
Net cashflow
$416/mo
Annual
$4,998/yr
Cap rate
14.76%
Cash-on-cash
30.25%
DSCR
2.35
1% rule
1.73%
Cash to close
$16,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $59k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $416 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $59k).
It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $55k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($408 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Bakersfield R-IV (rural): math 44% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #285 of 535 in MO (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Ozark County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (40%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EK042AEFS0TDWR
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29