3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,182 sqft ·
Built 1958
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 57 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,279/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$808
Tax + insurance
−$191
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$269
Net cashflow
$11/mo
Annual
$134/yr
Cap rate
6.38%
Cash-on-cash
0.31%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$43,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $154k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $11 ($134/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (17.0% below list).
It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($149k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $128k (17.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#175 in OH, #2,737 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F.
Alliance City (town): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #536 of 656 in OH (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Alliance Early Learning School (624 students, 0% FRL); Alliance Middle School (math 33% / reading 40%, grade F, #539 of 654 statewide, top 83%, 602 students, 0% FRL); Alliance High School (math 22% / reading 45%, grade F, #598 of 781 statewide, top 77%, 973 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 71% district-wide (71 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 169 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 528 units permitted in Stark County in 2024 (84 in 5+ unit buildings).
Stark County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
5 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $112k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.7% in Alliance — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EK14B66H2VNVJA
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29