15 bd · 9.0 ba ·
3,100 sqft ·
Built 1917
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 615 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,854/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$860
Tax + insurance
−$273
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$599
Net cashflow
$1,121/mo
Annual
$13,456/yr
Cap rate
14.50%
Cash-on-cash
29.30%
DSCR
2.30
1% rule
1.74%
Cash to close
$45,920
Investor read
This is a 3 × 1-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $164k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $374/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $164k).
It's been on market 615 days — a 12% lower offer ($144k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $144k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#145 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
Springfield School District No. Re-4 (rural): math 20% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #149 of 176 in CO (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Baca County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Baca County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 615 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EKA2JD7MDFS2KY
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29