3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,456 sqft ·
Built 2017
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,356/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$158
HOA
−$788
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$495
Net cashflow
$418/mo
Annual
$5,013/yr
Cap rate
11.58%
Cash-on-cash
18.87%
DSCR
1.84
1% rule
2.48%
Cash to close
$26,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $418 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#101 in MI, #2,449 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Caledonia Community Schools (suburban): math 58% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #26 of 540 in MI (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Emmons Lake Elementary School (math 56% / reading 66%, grade B, #190 of 1,397 statewide, top 14%, 400 students, 24% FRL); Kraft Meadows Intermediate School (math 54% / reading 67%, grade B+, #51 of 493 statewide, top 11%, 683 students, 23% FRL); Caledonia High School (math 47% / reading 73%, grade C+, #73 of 713 statewide, top 11%, 1,464 students, 20% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 33% of rent.
Market conditions: 257 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,253 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (969 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 2.5% in Caledonia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EKY1W3EAEZ440T
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29