3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
973 sqft ·
Built 1952
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 45 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,523/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$676
Tax + insurance
−$144
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$320
Net cashflow
$382/mo
Annual
$4,590/yr
Cap rate
9.85%
Cash-on-cash
12.71%
DSCR
1.57
1% rule
1.18%
Cash to close
$36,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $129k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $382 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $129k).
It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($125k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $125k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#58 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
Jefferson Parish (suburban): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #44 of 98 in LA (top 45%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Shirley Johnson/Gretna Park Elementary School (math 22% / reading 16%, grade F, #463 of 646 statewide, top 72%, 694 students, 63% FRL); Gretna Middle School (math 9% / reading 24%, grade F, #177 of 218 statewide, top 82%, 574 students, 64% FRL); Helen Cox High School (math 6% / reading 22%, grade F, #228 of 265 statewide, top 86%, 904 students, 66% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 16% at this address vs 29% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Jefferson Parish average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 113 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 518 units permitted in Jefferson Parish in 2024 (43 in 5+ unit buildings).
8 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $70k; list at $129k implies a 84% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 5.2% in Gretna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $1,523/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 1911% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EKZ1M1FGB79J6T
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29