3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,780 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 26 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,269/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$218
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$267
Net cashflow
$-2/mo
Annual
$-22/yr
Cap rate
6.28%
Cash-on-cash
-0.05%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2 ($-22/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $150k (0.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $127k (15.4% below list).
It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $127k (15.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,050 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Huntingdon Area SD (town): math 32% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #366 of 539 in PA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Standing Stone El Sch (math 30% / reading 49%, grade F, #947 of 1,518 statewide, top 65%, 421 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 41% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 70 units permitted in Huntingdon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Huntingdon County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $53k; list at $150k implies a 183% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.6% in Huntingdon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EM0B5K1DV0M0ZE
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29