3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,145 sqft ·
Built 1976
· Condo
· Pending
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,152/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,988
Tax + insurance
−$296
HOA
−$54
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$662
Net cashflow
$153/mo
Annual
$1,834/yr
Cap rate
6.78%
Cash-on-cash
1.73%
DSCR
1.08
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$106,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $379k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $153 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $315k (16.8% below list).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $315k (16.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#443 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A, crime A-, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Soledad Unified (town): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #1,109 of 1,400 in CA (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 86% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Gabilan Elementary (462 students, 79% FRL); Main Street Middle (749 students, 74% FRL); Soledad High (1,534 students, 73% FRL).
Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 530 units permitted in Monterey County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Monterey County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $76k; list at $379k implies a 399% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EMDGXT16PHTW41
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29