3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
938 sqft ·
Built 2020
· Manufactured
· Active
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,002/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$577
Tax + insurance
−$99
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$211
Net cashflow
$116/mo
Annual
$1,394/yr
Cap rate
7.56%
Cash-on-cash
4.53%
DSCR
1.20
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$30,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $116 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (8.9% below list).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $100k (8.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Rochelle ISD (rural): math 50% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #503 of 1,141 in TX (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in McCulloch County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Exterior siding
— Weathered and worn
Major: Landscaping
— Overgrown grass and debris
CashFlowRE · CFR-EMJQN30792XHCY
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29