5 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,945 sqft ·
Built 1890
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,909/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$300
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$401
Net cashflow
$474/mo
Annual
$5,682/yr
Cap rate
10.35%
Cash-on-cash
14.49%
DSCR
1.64
1% rule
1.36%
Cash to close
$39,200
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $474 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#862 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
West Shore SD (suburban): math 37% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #222 of 539 in PA (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Newberry El Sch (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #947 of 1,518 statewide, top 65%, 262 students, 54% FRL); Allen Ms (math 29% / reading 59%, grade D, #202 of 512 statewide, top 40%, 477 students, 42% FRL); Red Land Shs (math 56% / reading 75%, grade B, #65 of 437 statewide, top 15%, 1,101 students, 27% FRL) — zoned schools average 41% FRL vs 25% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $100k; 40% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 3.6% in Lewisberry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EMZ3EN3ZGQBFZ6
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29