2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,432 sqft ·
Built 1982
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 144 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,289/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,038
Tax + insurance
−$168
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$271
Net cashflow
$-188/mo
Annual
$-2,257/yr
Cap rate
5.15%
Cash-on-cash
-4.07%
DSCR
0.82
1% rule
0.65%
Cash to close
$55,440
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $198k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-188 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $165k (16.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (34.9% below list).
It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($174k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $129k (34.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#228 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Lexington (town): math 13% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #214 of 270 in OK (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Lexington Es (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #479 of 845 statewide, top 63%, 473 students, 0% FRL); Lexington Hs (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #222 of 447 statewide, top 52%, 300 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 51% district-wide (51 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 592 units permitted in Cleveland County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cleveland County population projected at +40% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $40k; list at $198k implies a 401% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29