3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,488 sqft ·
Built 1986
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 21 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,449/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,019
Tax + insurance
−$349
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$514
Net cashflow
$-433/mo
Annual
$-5,193/yr
Cap rate
4.94%
Cash-on-cash
-4.82%
DSCR
0.79
1% rule
0.64%
Cash to close
$107,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $385k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-433 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $309k (19.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $245k (36.4% below list).
It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($379k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $245k (36.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#38 in VA, #880 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, commute F.
Va Beach City Public School District (urban): math 69% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #10 of 131 in VA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Corporate Landing Elementary (math 62% / reading 72%, grade B+, #381 of 1,108 statewide, top 36%, 380 students, 57% FRL); Corporate Landing Middle (math 66% / reading 77%, grade A, #72 of 342 statewide, top 22%, 1,054 students, 46% FRL); Ocean Lakes High (math 73% / reading 89%, grade A, #52 of 319 statewide, top 17%, 1,855 students, 29% FRL) — zoned schools average 44% FRL vs 28% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 209 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 666 units permitted in Virginia Beach city in 2024 (347 in 5+ unit buildings).
Virginia Beach County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $75k; list at $385k implies a 416% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.5% in Virginia Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ENQ0CR4WC93B28
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29