2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
627 sqft ·
Built 1981
· Condo
· Active
· 244 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$930/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$812
Tax + insurance
−$267
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$195
Net cashflow
$-345/mo
Annual
$-4,137/yr
Cap rate
3.62%
Cash-on-cash
-9.54%
DSCR
0.58
1% rule
0.60%
Cash to close
$43,366
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $155k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-345 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $94k (39.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $93k (40.0% below list).
It's been on market 244 days — a 12% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $93k (40.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#227 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, amenities F.
United ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #568 of 826 in TX (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Amparo Gutierrez El (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #2,525 of 4,322 statewide, top 62%, 428 students, 82% FRL); Clark Middle (math 24% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,200 of 1,662 statewide, top 73%, 568 students, 88% FRL); John B Alexander H S (math 36% / reading 59%, grade D, #583 of 1,632 statewide, top 36%, 3,070 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools at 76% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 126 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,448 units permitted in Webb County in 2024 (245 in 5+ unit buildings).
Webb County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 244 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 40% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EP7HX42FESEV36
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29