209 12th Ave N

St. Petersburg, FL 33704

$925,000D+

24 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,400 sqft · Built 1972 · MultiFamily · Active · 141 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $9,138/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$4,851
• Tax + insurance: −$1,430
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,919
• Net cashflow: $939/mo
• Annual: $11,264/yr
• Cap rate: 7.51%
• Cash-on-cash: 4.35%
• DSCR: 1.19
• 1% rule: 0.99%
• Cash to close: $259,000

Investor read

• This is a 4 × 6-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $925k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $939 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $235/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $914k (1.2% below list).
• It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($814k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $814k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $28k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: North Shore Elementary School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,288 of 2,144 statewide, top 62%, 501 students, 46% FRL); John Hopkins Middle School (math 25% / reading 27%, grade F, #506 of 571 statewide, top 89%, 723 students, 66% FRL); St. Petersburg High School (math 31% / reading 61%, grade D-, #220 of 667 statewide, top 33%, 1,723 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools at 51% FRL track the district average.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 39% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pinellas average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 242 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• 2 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $125k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $93k; list at $925k implies a 895% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 2.6% in St. Petersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• At $9,138/mo this rent would consume 102% of the median local household income ($108k/yr) (locally 632% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
• What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
• Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.