3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,528 sqft ·
Built 2023
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,085/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,303
Tax + insurance
−$234
HOA
−$190
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$438
Net cashflow
$-80/mo
Annual
$-955/yr
Cap rate
5.91%
Cash-on-cash
-1.37%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$69,580
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $248k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-80 ($-955/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $234k (5.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $208k (16.1% below list).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($245k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $208k (16.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Mooresville Consolidated School Corporation (suburban): math 41% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #111 of 301 in IN (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: North Madison Elementary School (math 48% / reading 33%, grade F, #491 of 994 statewide, top 50%, 632 students, 46% FRL); Mooresville High School (math 43% / reading 74%, grade C, #60 of 369 statewide, top 16%, 1,404 students, 39% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 66 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 330 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Morgan County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.4% in Indianapolis city (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EPK4GR73DJ1F8B
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29