3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,200 sqft ·
Built 1993
· Manufactured
· Active
· 101 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,003/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$233
HOA
−$1,450
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$421
Net cashflow
$-834/mo
Annual
$-10,011/yr
Cap rate
-0.86%
Cash-on-cash
-25.56%
DSCR
-0.14
1% rule
1.43%
Cash to close
$39,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $140k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-834 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $19k (86.3% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $19k (86.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#490 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Coral Reef Elementary School (math 70% / reading 70%, grade A-, #345 of 2,144 statewide, top 17%, 1,016 students, 36% FRL); Woodlands Middle School (math 51% / reading 58%, grade B-, #183 of 571 statewide, top 34%, 1,551 students, 40% FRL); Park Vista Community High School (math 43% / reading 64%, grade C-, #146 of 667 statewide, top 22%, 3,191 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools average 35% FRL vs 52% district-wide (17 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 72% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 787 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 51d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $34k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate -0.9% vs local median 4.3% in Greenacres — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 86% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
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