1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,072 sqft ·
Built 1985
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 317 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,003/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$676
Tax + insurance
−$192
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$211
Net cashflow
$-76/mo
Annual
$-907/yr
Cap rate
5.59%
Cash-on-cash
-2.51%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$36,120
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $129k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-76 ($-907/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $116k (10.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (22.2% below list).
It's been on market 317 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $100k (22.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($892 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (6.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Willsboro Central School District (rural): math 45% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #562 of 755 in NY (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 218 units permitted in Essex County in 2024 (63 in 5+ unit buildings).
Essex County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $25k; list at $129k implies a 416% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (6.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 317 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EPSYF555CBBPHG
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29