1020 Vail View Dr Unit 3402-41

Vail, CO 81657

$200C-

3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,302 sqft · Built 1983 · Timeshare · Active · 114 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $3,640/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1
• Tax + insurance: −$67
• HOA: −$185
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$764
• Net cashflow: $2,623/mo
• Annual: $31,471/yr
• Cap rate: 16140.51%
• Cash-on-cash: 57622.20%
• DSCR: 2564.86
• 1% rule: 1819.88%
• Cash to close: $56

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath timeshare listed at $200.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($31k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $200).
• It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($182) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $182 (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $19 of equity ($1 loan paydown + $18 appreciation (8.8% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 71/100 on livability (#76 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime D-, cost of living F, health & safety F.
• Eagle County School District No. RE-50 (town): math 22% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #39 of 86 in CO (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
• Market conditions: 313 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 387 units permitted in Eagle County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Eagle County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (8.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 16140.5% vs local median 0.5% in Vail — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($101k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.