2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,248 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Manufactured
· Active
· 32 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,975/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,731
Tax + insurance
−$281
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$625
Net cashflow
$338/mo
Annual
$4,057/yr
Cap rate
7.52%
Cash-on-cash
4.39%
DSCR
1.20
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$92,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $330k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $338 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $297k (9.9% below list).
It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($320k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $297k (9.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $17k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (4.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#205 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, commute B+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F.
Ocean Beach School District (rural): math 34% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #212 of 291 in WA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 90 units permitted in Pacific County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pacific County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $52k; list at $330k implies a 529% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (4.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $92k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-EQA48C8ZFRC0D0
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29